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Infinite Loop Of Facebook IPO Stories Caused By Actual Infinite Loop During Facebook IPO

"Remember when Facebook IPOed last May and it was a mess? Today the SEC released its amusing order fining Nasdaq $10 million for the mess and explaining what happened. Some computers were having a stressful day at work and so they decided to give up and hide out in the nap room, is the gist of it. I feel like I’d get along with those computers.

What started the mess is that Nasdaq opens the trading of a newly IPO’ed stock with an opening cross where it compiles quotes for a while and then crosses them in one big opening cross before continuous trading starts. And it uses the following process to do the opening cross:

1 Get a bunch of orders over a ~20 minute period before trading starts
2 Use a program called the IPO Cross Application to calculate the clearing price and shares crossed based on those orders, which takes a few milliseconds
3 Check if any of the orders were cancelled during those milliseconds
4 If they were, delete those orders and Goto 2

Did you spot the problem? Nasdaq’s systems engineers did not, even after the IPO Cross Application had been running on an infinite loop for twenty minutes."

"So some people who’d submitted marketable orders didn’t get their orders executed, other people whose orders were executed didn’t get confirmations, and general unpleasantness ensued. Also Nasdaq accidentally and illegally shorted 3 million shares of an IPO that it was in the process of (...), which is a great idea except for the “illegally” part: the stock went down and Nasdaq made $10.8 million dollars covering its short."


China: Rising risks of financial crisis

"China is displaying the same three symptoms that Japan, the US and parts of Europe all showed before suffering financial crises: a rapid build-up of leverage, elevated property prices and a decline in potential growth.

We delve into the financial risks facing China’s economy and find that the most vulnerable areas are local government financing vehicles, property developers, trust companies and credit guarantee companies. We also show how they are interlinked.
If the government acts this year with tighter policies – and our base case is that it will – we believe it can still avoid a systemic financial crisis. But that would come at a short-term cost of slower GDP growth, which we expect to average 7.3% in H2 2013.

As history has repeatedly shown, the slower the policy response to financial excesses, the greater the risk of a systemic financial crisis and the more challenging it will be to avoid a hard economic landing."


Exploratory trading - The Top 8 HFTs Remove Liquidity 59% of the Time

"Exploratory trading is a form of manipulation designed to test the market's reaction to a trade. Probing for stop orders would be one form of exploratory trading. This paper specifically investigates exploratory trading that attempts to determine whether the bid/ask spread is about to shift up or down a level. The impact on the market would be an increase in intraday volatility. Exploratory trading distorts the market's view of supply and demand and induces trading activity from other participants. Furthermore, as participants learn of the strategy, they will employ counter-measures - which will further muddy an accurate picture of supply and demand for everyone else. This is why regulations ban manipulation."

"A lot of media discussion about HFT focuses on 3 benefits: they provide liquidity, narrow spreads and lower trading costs. This Harvard paper exposes some disturbing truths: the top HFT engage in a predatory market manipulation strategy that removes liquidity 59.2% of the time (by volume), causes undue intraday volatility (which amounts to a tax on investors), warps the true picture of supply and demand, and raises trading costs for everyone processing market data."