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The Investment Performance of Emotional Assets

"Abstract: 
We assess the long-term financial returns from high-quality collectible real assets, and review the unique risks that are associated with such investments. Over the period 1900-2012, art, stamps, and musical instruments (violins) have appreciated at an average annual rate of 6.4%-6.9% in nominal terms, or 2.4%-2.8% in real terms. Despite the similarity in long-term returns, short-term trends can vary substantially across these different types of emotional assets. Collectibles have enjoyed higher average returns than government bonds, bills, and gold. However, it is important to recognize the quantitative importance of transaction costs in collectibles markets. In addition, price volatility is larger than is suggested by conventional measures of risk, and these assets are also exposed to fluctuating tastes and potential frauds. Yet, despite the large costs and many pitfalls, investment in emotional assets can pay off, because of the non-financial yield they provide."


Real rolling gold returns compared to stocks

"For the period 1928-2012, the average annual compound real return of stocks = 6.0% and gold = 2.2%. However, the price of gold was controled by the government until the mid-70s when the US finally abandoned the gold standard. For the period 1976-2012, the average returns were stocks = 6.7% and gold = 2.5%."