Merge or Die: Slow Economy Sheds New Light on M&A

"Merger activity will get a much-needed lift when companies realize that acquisitions are the only way to expand in a slow-growth economy."

"M&A has long been a business that runs on optimism. The effort required to buy another organization — negotiate a price, perform effective due diligence, resolve legal and regulatory requirements and defeat other bidders — is daunting and time-consuming, high drama and remarkable tedium. The machinery of M&A is large, complex and fragile, a fluid constellation of bankers, lawyers, accountants, consultants, corporate executives, directors and investors of all kinds. It is both a mechanism of change and an intricate set of financial, organizational and legal technologies. Perhaps the greatest and most commonly overlooked aspect of M&A happens when the deal is done: postmerger integration, or effectively knitting two corporate entities into one.

None of M&A is easy, and the risks are considerable — too large, apparently, for many companies still focused on disaster and seemingly content to accumulate cash, passing some of it to shareholders when they grow restive. This is a big change. The modern era of M&A, which began in the mid-’70s and was characterized by shareholder governance and deregulated markets, has been both cyclical and expansionary. Recessions reduced the size and number of M&A deals for two or three years only to see them roar back, each wave mightier than the last. What drove those successively higher waves was the expansion of M&A into the middle market and into the developed, then emerging, economies. Throughout this period M&A was broadly tamed and routinized, moving beyond an activity that once seemed to belong to cowboys, pirates or, most famously, barbarians."