Pokazywanie postów oznaczonych etykietą Goldman Sachs. Pokaż wszystkie posty
Pokazywanie postów oznaczonych etykietą Goldman Sachs. Pokaż wszystkie posty

The Ultimate "What Would Janet Yellen Do?" Cheatsheet

"Pulling from an extensive record of public speeches and FOMC meeting transcripts, Goldman Sachs reviews Fed Chair-nominee Janet Yellen's views on a number of policy-relevant issues. Probably the most differentiating feature of Yellen's public communications relative to other Fed officials has been her focus on "optimal control" considerations in illustrating potential future paths for the fed funds rate, which generally suggest a more accommodative path than current consensus expectations.

Yellen has expressed confidence in the benefits of QE in the past, and has generally not suggested that the costs of QE are substantial enough to warrant any changes to the stance of policy.

She believes that most of the increase in unemployment since the crisis has been cyclical rather than structural in nature, and will be looking for a broad-based improvement in labor market indicators before deciding that a "substantial" improvement has occurred.

FOMC meeting transcripts show that Yellen generally erred on the side of preferring more accommodation during 2006 and 2007 (detailed transcripts are delayed 5 years), but expressed significant concern about inflation during the mid-1990s.


Via Goldman Sachs, (...)"


Goldman Admits Payroll Data Is "Economically Meaningless"

"So, the bottom line is that market moves off the headline data releases of the Payrolls and GDP are inefficient and based on a false belief that this data in some way indicates improving (or deteriorating) economic conditions. Once again, investors have been fooled by an ongoing mythology about the often noisy (and always revised) data and the mainstream media's need for a headline upon which to hang the manipulation-du-jour."


Goldman Slams Abenomics: "Positive Impact Is Gone, Only High Yields And Volatility Remain; BOJ Credibility At Stake"

"While many impartial observers have been lamenting the death of Abenomics now that the Nikkei - essentially the only favorable indicator resulting from the coordinated and unprecedented action by the Japanese government and its less than independent central bank - has peaked and dropped 20% from the highs, Wall Street was largely mum on its Abenomics scorecard. This changed overnight following a scathing report by Goldman which slams Abenomics, it sorry current condition, and where it is headed, warning that unless the BOJ promptly implements a set of changes to how it manipulates markets as per Goldman's recommendations, the situation will get out of control fast."